WHO WILL GET NOMINATED FOR AN OSCAR?
JANUARY 20, 2025
JANUARY 20, 2025
(Norway - Armand; Ireland - Kneecap; Iceland - Touch)
By this point in the awards season, there's usually a clear frontrunner for the Best International Feature Oscar. Last year, The Zone of Interest led the pack, while the year before, All Quiet on the Western Front dominated the conversation. In previous years, films like Drive My Car, Another Round, Parasite and Roma were all strong favourites heading into the nominations. This year, it's Emilia Perez that has emerged as the overwhelming favorite.
The year started with Kneecap, Dahomey, No Other Land, All Shall Be Well, Crossing all debuting early at Sundance and Berlin. As the year continued, three films becoming instant contenders out of Cannes Film Festival: Emilia Perez, The Seed of the Sacred Fig and All We Imagine as Light. Other films coming out of the festival included Universal Language, Flow, Santosh, The Girl with the Needle, Armand and Grand Tour. Venice then debuted and I'm Still Here and Vermiglio entered the race too.
As countries announced their submissions for this year’s Oscars, four major contenders were unexpectedly left out. All We Imagine as Light wasn’t selected by India, No Other Land wasn’t chosen by Palestine, Crossing was passed over by Sweden, and All Shall Be Well wasn’t submitted by Hong Kong. This opened up the category for other films to emerge as contenders.
As the awards season unfolded, All We Imagine as Light won The Gotham Awards, as well as earning top honors from both the New York and Los Angeles Film Critics circles. Meanwhile, The Seed of the Sacred Fig claimed the National Board of Review (NBR) Awards. Emilia Perez began to build momentum with a nomination at the AFI Awards, then solidified its status by dominating the European Film Awards. The film garnered an impressive 10 Golden Globe nominations, a feat it repeated at the Critics Choice Awards, further cementing its position as a major player this season.
On December 17, the list of 86 contenders got reduced down to 15. The following films are the finalists:
The year started with Kneecap, Dahomey, No Other Land, All Shall Be Well, Crossing all debuting early at Sundance and Berlin. As the year continued, three films becoming instant contenders out of Cannes Film Festival: Emilia Perez, The Seed of the Sacred Fig and All We Imagine as Light. Other films coming out of the festival included Universal Language, Flow, Santosh, The Girl with the Needle, Armand and Grand Tour. Venice then debuted and I'm Still Here and Vermiglio entered the race too.
As countries announced their submissions for this year’s Oscars, four major contenders were unexpectedly left out. All We Imagine as Light wasn’t selected by India, No Other Land wasn’t chosen by Palestine, Crossing was passed over by Sweden, and All Shall Be Well wasn’t submitted by Hong Kong. This opened up the category for other films to emerge as contenders.
As the awards season unfolded, All We Imagine as Light won The Gotham Awards, as well as earning top honors from both the New York and Los Angeles Film Critics circles. Meanwhile, The Seed of the Sacred Fig claimed the National Board of Review (NBR) Awards. Emilia Perez began to build momentum with a nomination at the AFI Awards, then solidified its status by dominating the European Film Awards. The film garnered an impressive 10 Golden Globe nominations, a feat it repeated at the Critics Choice Awards, further cementing its position as a major player this season.
On December 17, the list of 86 contenders got reduced down to 15. The following films are the finalists:
BRAZIL - I'M STILL HERE
CANADA - UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE
CZECHIA - WAVES
DENMARK - THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE
FRANCE - EMILIA PEREZ
GERMANY - THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG
ICELAND - TOUCH
IRELAND - KNEECAP
ITALY - VERMIGLIO
LATVIA - FLOW
NORWAY - ARMAND
PALESTINE - FROM GROUND ZERO
SENEGAL - DAHOMEY
THAILAND - HOW TO MAKE MILLIONS BEFORE GRANDMA DIES
UNITED KINGDOM - SANTOSH
CANADA - UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE
CZECHIA - WAVES
DENMARK - THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE
FRANCE - EMILIA PEREZ
GERMANY - THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG
ICELAND - TOUCH
IRELAND - KNEECAP
ITALY - VERMIGLIO
LATVIA - FLOW
NORWAY - ARMAND
PALESTINE - FROM GROUND ZERO
SENEGAL - DAHOMEY
THAILAND - HOW TO MAKE MILLIONS BEFORE GRANDMA DIES
UNITED KINGDOM - SANTOSH
(United Kingdom - Santosh; Canada - Universal Language; Czechia - Waves)
So which films do we think will get nominated on January 23rd? Let's dive into the remaining 15 films.
These five films we feel have a long shot at getting nominated for the Oscars.
TOUCH (ICELAND)
Director Baltasar Kormákur returns to the Oscar race with his latest film, Touch. This marks the fifth time Iceland has chosen one of Kormákur’s films as its official submission for Best International Feature, following The Sea (2002), Jar City (2007), White Night Wedding (2008), and The Deep (2012), which was shortlisted for the award. Touch premiered in Iceland in May 2024 to critical acclaim, praised for its emotional depth and striking visuals, further solidifying Kormákur’s reputation as one of Iceland’s most celebrated filmmakers. It expanded to North American theaters in July, where it garnered a warm reception from critics and audiences alike. However, its inclusion on the Oscar shortlist surprised many, given the fierce competition this year. While Touch has been well-received, we believe its chances of securing an Oscar nomination remain slim.
ARMAND (NORWAY)
The debut feature from Halfdan Ullmann Tøndel, Armand is a tense psychological drama that dives deep into moral ambiguity, power dynamics, and human vulnerability. As the grandson of legendary filmmaker Ingmar Bergman and acclaimed actress Liv Ullmann, Tøndel brings an evocative storytelling approach to his work, blending an eerie sense of dread with emotional complexity. Armand premiered at the Cannes Film Festival in May 2024 in the prestigious Un Certain Regard section, where it received critical acclaim and earned Tøndel the coveted Camera d’Or for Best First Feature. This achievement highlighted Tøndel’s promise as a bold and sensitive new voice in cinema. However, despite its critical success at Cannes, the film has struggled to maintain momentum during awards season. With limited recognition from key awards bodies, Armand seems unlikely to secure an Oscar nomination.
WAVES (CZECHIA)
Directed by Jiří Mádl, Waves is a gripping historical thriller set during the Prague Spring of 1968. The film follows two brothers and their involvement with a group of journalists at Czechoslovak Radio as they fight to preserve independent journalism during the Soviet invasion. Drawing from real-life events and figures, including Milan Weiner and the International Life Editorial Board, Mádl crafts a powerful story of resilience and bravery. Mádl, known for his earlier acclaimed films To See the Sea and On the Roof, as well as his Czech Lion-winning performance in Droneman (2020), delivers an impressive directorial effort with Waves. Despite receiving glowing reviews and resonating strongly with audiences, the film has yet to secure North American distribution—a crucial factor for Oscar visibility. As a result, its chances of receiving a nomination remain uncertain.
SANTOSH (UNITED KINGDOM)
In Santosh, director Sandhya Suri tells the compelling story of a newly widowed woman who inherits her late husband’s job as a rural police constable in Northern India. Thrust into the investigation of a brutal crime, Santosh must navigate caste tensions, systemic corruption, and gender dynamics under the mentorship of a feminist police inspector. Suri, who previously gained recognition for her documentary I For India (2005) and BAFTA-nominated short film The Field (2018), makes an assured narrative feature debut with Santosh. The film premiered in the Un Certain Regard section at Cannes in 2024, drawing widespread praise for its socially charged narrative and emotional resonance. Acquired by Metrograph Pictures for North American distribution, the film was a favorite to make the Oscar shortlist. However, despite nominations at the NBR Awards and a BAFTA nod, Santosh has not generated the same level of buzz as other contenders, making its path to an Oscar nomination challenging.
UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE (CANADA)
Matthew Rankin’s Universal Language is an inventive exploration of identity, culture, and communication set in an alternate reality where Winnipeg, Quebec, and Tehran coexist as a unified space. Told through a multilingual cast speaking Farsi and French, the film weaves personal and collective narratives into a visually stunning and emotionally resonant story. Premiering in the Directors’ Fortnight at Cannes, Universal Language captivated audiences, earning the prestigious Directors’ Fortnight Audience Award. Rankin’s bold vision and distinctive storytelling style have positioned him as one of Canada’s most innovative filmmakers. While the film received glowing reviews and accolades, including an NBR Award nomination, it hasn’t gained the same momentum as other shortlisted films. Like Santosh, its chances of securing an Oscar nomination appear slim amidst fierce competition.
These five films we feel have a long shot at getting nominated for the Oscars.
TOUCH (ICELAND)
Director Baltasar Kormákur returns to the Oscar race with his latest film, Touch. This marks the fifth time Iceland has chosen one of Kormákur’s films as its official submission for Best International Feature, following The Sea (2002), Jar City (2007), White Night Wedding (2008), and The Deep (2012), which was shortlisted for the award. Touch premiered in Iceland in May 2024 to critical acclaim, praised for its emotional depth and striking visuals, further solidifying Kormákur’s reputation as one of Iceland’s most celebrated filmmakers. It expanded to North American theaters in July, where it garnered a warm reception from critics and audiences alike. However, its inclusion on the Oscar shortlist surprised many, given the fierce competition this year. While Touch has been well-received, we believe its chances of securing an Oscar nomination remain slim.
ARMAND (NORWAY)
The debut feature from Halfdan Ullmann Tøndel, Armand is a tense psychological drama that dives deep into moral ambiguity, power dynamics, and human vulnerability. As the grandson of legendary filmmaker Ingmar Bergman and acclaimed actress Liv Ullmann, Tøndel brings an evocative storytelling approach to his work, blending an eerie sense of dread with emotional complexity. Armand premiered at the Cannes Film Festival in May 2024 in the prestigious Un Certain Regard section, where it received critical acclaim and earned Tøndel the coveted Camera d’Or for Best First Feature. This achievement highlighted Tøndel’s promise as a bold and sensitive new voice in cinema. However, despite its critical success at Cannes, the film has struggled to maintain momentum during awards season. With limited recognition from key awards bodies, Armand seems unlikely to secure an Oscar nomination.
WAVES (CZECHIA)
Directed by Jiří Mádl, Waves is a gripping historical thriller set during the Prague Spring of 1968. The film follows two brothers and their involvement with a group of journalists at Czechoslovak Radio as they fight to preserve independent journalism during the Soviet invasion. Drawing from real-life events and figures, including Milan Weiner and the International Life Editorial Board, Mádl crafts a powerful story of resilience and bravery. Mádl, known for his earlier acclaimed films To See the Sea and On the Roof, as well as his Czech Lion-winning performance in Droneman (2020), delivers an impressive directorial effort with Waves. Despite receiving glowing reviews and resonating strongly with audiences, the film has yet to secure North American distribution—a crucial factor for Oscar visibility. As a result, its chances of receiving a nomination remain uncertain.
SANTOSH (UNITED KINGDOM)
In Santosh, director Sandhya Suri tells the compelling story of a newly widowed woman who inherits her late husband’s job as a rural police constable in Northern India. Thrust into the investigation of a brutal crime, Santosh must navigate caste tensions, systemic corruption, and gender dynamics under the mentorship of a feminist police inspector. Suri, who previously gained recognition for her documentary I For India (2005) and BAFTA-nominated short film The Field (2018), makes an assured narrative feature debut with Santosh. The film premiered in the Un Certain Regard section at Cannes in 2024, drawing widespread praise for its socially charged narrative and emotional resonance. Acquired by Metrograph Pictures for North American distribution, the film was a favorite to make the Oscar shortlist. However, despite nominations at the NBR Awards and a BAFTA nod, Santosh has not generated the same level of buzz as other contenders, making its path to an Oscar nomination challenging.
UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE (CANADA)
Matthew Rankin’s Universal Language is an inventive exploration of identity, culture, and communication set in an alternate reality where Winnipeg, Quebec, and Tehran coexist as a unified space. Told through a multilingual cast speaking Farsi and French, the film weaves personal and collective narratives into a visually stunning and emotionally resonant story. Premiering in the Directors’ Fortnight at Cannes, Universal Language captivated audiences, earning the prestigious Directors’ Fortnight Audience Award. Rankin’s bold vision and distinctive storytelling style have positioned him as one of Canada’s most innovative filmmakers. While the film received glowing reviews and accolades, including an NBR Award nomination, it hasn’t gained the same momentum as other shortlisted films. Like Santosh, its chances of securing an Oscar nomination appear slim amidst fierce competition.
(Senegal - Dahomey; Palestine - From Ground Zero; Thailand - How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies)
Now things get very difficult to predict but we think these three films will just miss.
FROM GROUND ZERO (PALESTINE)
From Ground Zero is a poignant and deeply impactful documentary project comprising 22 short films by young filmmakers from Gaza. Spearheaded by Rashid Masharawi, this initiative emerged as a creative response to the ongoing conflict, providing a crucial platform for young artists to share their voices and lived experiences. Each film, ranging from 3 to 7 minutes, offers an unfiltered, personal perspective on life in Gaza, capturing the resilience, struggles, and humanity of those living in the besieged region. The documentary made its worldwide debut at the Toronto Film Festival on September 9th, receiving widespread acclaim for its raw storytelling and emotional depth. With Michael Moore serving as an executive producer, From Ground Zero has drawn significant attention, further amplifying its call for international awareness of the crisis in Gaza. However, its Oscar prospects face two significant challenges. First, the film was not shortlisted for Best Documentary Feature, which limits its path to recognition. Second, its unique format—consisting of 22 individual short films—may make it harder for some to view it as a cohesive feature film.
HOW TO MAKE MILLIONS BEFORE GRANDMA DIES (THAILAND)
The film follows M, a university dropout grappling with financial hardship. Faced with limited options, he volunteers to care for his terminally ill grandmother, hoping to secure the inheritance that will help him escape his struggles. However, as M spends more time with his grandmother, his motivations become clouded by guilt and emotional complexity. What starts as a self-serving act slowly transforms into a moral quandary as M confronts his conscience and the consequences of his actions. Directed by Pat Boonnitipat, the film made its debut directly in Thai theaters in April 2024, bypassing the usual festival circuit. It quickly became a box office sensation, resonating with audiences across Asia. With global earnings surpassing $50 million, it has become one of the most talked-about films of the year. Released in North America on September 13th, 2024, the film has received rave reviews, earning widespread praise from both critics and general audiences. Despite its strong reception, the film has yet to receive any nominations at major awards shows this year, which may hinder its chances for an Oscar nomination.
DAHOMEY (SENEGAL)
Mati Diop's latest documentary delves into the profound and emotional journey of 26 royal treasures from the Kingdom of Dahomey, which are set to be returned to their homeland, the Republic of Benin, after being looted by French colonial forces in 1892. These artifacts, which have been housed in Paris for over a century, are now at the center of a historic homecoming, symbolizing cultural restitution and the enduring legacy of colonialism. Directed by the acclaimed French-Senegalese filmmaker Mati Diop, the documentary premiered at the Berlin Film Festival, where it won the prestigious Golden Bear, solidifying its status as a landmark work. This marks Senegal’s second submission of a Diop film to the Academy, following her 2019 feature Atlantics, which was shortlisted for an Academy Award. With its global distribution secured by Mubi, the documentary has generated significant acclaim and momentum. While it holds a strong chance of being nominated for Best International Feature, much of its recognition has centered on its candidacy for Best Documentary Feature, where it was also shortlisted. If it secures an Oscar nomination, it is likely to do so in the documentary category.
FROM GROUND ZERO (PALESTINE)
From Ground Zero is a poignant and deeply impactful documentary project comprising 22 short films by young filmmakers from Gaza. Spearheaded by Rashid Masharawi, this initiative emerged as a creative response to the ongoing conflict, providing a crucial platform for young artists to share their voices and lived experiences. Each film, ranging from 3 to 7 minutes, offers an unfiltered, personal perspective on life in Gaza, capturing the resilience, struggles, and humanity of those living in the besieged region. The documentary made its worldwide debut at the Toronto Film Festival on September 9th, receiving widespread acclaim for its raw storytelling and emotional depth. With Michael Moore serving as an executive producer, From Ground Zero has drawn significant attention, further amplifying its call for international awareness of the crisis in Gaza. However, its Oscar prospects face two significant challenges. First, the film was not shortlisted for Best Documentary Feature, which limits its path to recognition. Second, its unique format—consisting of 22 individual short films—may make it harder for some to view it as a cohesive feature film.
HOW TO MAKE MILLIONS BEFORE GRANDMA DIES (THAILAND)
The film follows M, a university dropout grappling with financial hardship. Faced with limited options, he volunteers to care for his terminally ill grandmother, hoping to secure the inheritance that will help him escape his struggles. However, as M spends more time with his grandmother, his motivations become clouded by guilt and emotional complexity. What starts as a self-serving act slowly transforms into a moral quandary as M confronts his conscience and the consequences of his actions. Directed by Pat Boonnitipat, the film made its debut directly in Thai theaters in April 2024, bypassing the usual festival circuit. It quickly became a box office sensation, resonating with audiences across Asia. With global earnings surpassing $50 million, it has become one of the most talked-about films of the year. Released in North America on September 13th, 2024, the film has received rave reviews, earning widespread praise from both critics and general audiences. Despite its strong reception, the film has yet to receive any nominations at major awards shows this year, which may hinder its chances for an Oscar nomination.
DAHOMEY (SENEGAL)
Mati Diop's latest documentary delves into the profound and emotional journey of 26 royal treasures from the Kingdom of Dahomey, which are set to be returned to their homeland, the Republic of Benin, after being looted by French colonial forces in 1892. These artifacts, which have been housed in Paris for over a century, are now at the center of a historic homecoming, symbolizing cultural restitution and the enduring legacy of colonialism. Directed by the acclaimed French-Senegalese filmmaker Mati Diop, the documentary premiered at the Berlin Film Festival, where it won the prestigious Golden Bear, solidifying its status as a landmark work. This marks Senegal’s second submission of a Diop film to the Academy, following her 2019 feature Atlantics, which was shortlisted for an Academy Award. With its global distribution secured by Mubi, the documentary has generated significant acclaim and momentum. While it holds a strong chance of being nominated for Best International Feature, much of its recognition has centered on its candidacy for Best Documentary Feature, where it was also shortlisted. If it secures an Oscar nomination, it is likely to do so in the documentary category.
(Brazil - I'm Still Here; Germany - The Seed of the Sacred Fig; France - Emilia Perez)
With seven contenders to go let's start with mentioning the three films that are locked for a nomination.
EMILIA PEREZ (FRANCE)
Emilia Pérez, directed by the acclaimed Jacques Audiard, unfolds the gripping story of Rita, an underappreciated lawyer working at a major law firm that prioritizes getting criminals out of jail over seeking true justice. Rita’s life takes a dramatic turn when she is recruited by the leader of a criminal organization. Known for his Palme d'Or-winning Dheepan and his earlier Oscar nomination for A Prophet (2009), Audiard returns with this intense thriller, blending moral complexity with sharp character dynamics. Emilia Pérez premiered at the Cannes Film Festival, where its four lead actresses—Gascón, Saldaña, Gomez, and Paz—won the prestigious collective Best Actress award. The film also claimed the Jury Prize, cementing its place as a standout. With its critical acclaim and powerful performances, Emilia Pérez is currently a frontrunner in several Oscar categories and is all but guaranteed a nomination for Best International Feature.
THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (GERMANY)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig is the latest film from renowned Iranian director Mohammad Rasoulof, whose previous works include Goodbye (2011), which earned him Best Director at Cannes, and There Is No Evil (2020), which won the prestigious Golden Bear at the Berlin Film Festival. Starring Misagh Zare, Soheila Golestani, Mahsa Rostami, and Setareh Maleki, The Seed of the Sacred Fig premiered in competition at the Cannes Film Festival in May 2024, where it was awarded the Special Jury Prize and the FIPRESCI Award. The film went on to win the Audience Award at the Sydney Film Festival in June 2024. Released in North American theatres in November 2024, the film has solidified Rasoulof’s status as a master of political cinema, delivering sharp commentary on power, trust, and the erosion of personal boundaries. It has earned nominations at the Astra Awards, Golden Globe Awards, Critics’ Choice Awards, and BAFTA Awards, and was a standout at the NBR Awards, where it won top honors. The film was also a runner-up at the LA Film Critics Awards. With this impressive track record, there's little doubt that The Seed of the Sacred Fig will secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
I'M STILL HERE (BRAZIL)
I'm Still Here had its world premiere at the 81st Venice International Film Festival, where it garnered widespread critical acclaim. Fernanda Torres’ performance as Eunice Paiva was universally praised, with critics highlighting her portrayal of strength, resilience, and vulnerability. The screenplay, which won the Best Screenplay award at Venice, has been celebrated for its sensitive handling of deeply emotional material while maintaining a strong historical and political context. Sony Pictures Classics has acquired the North American distribution rights, ensuring that this important story will reach a broad audience. With its stunning performances, nuanced storytelling, and historical significance, I'm Still Here serves as a powerful testament to the enduring impact of love, truth, and the human spirit in the face of adversity. Like The Seed of the Sacred Fig, the film has been nominated for several prestigious awards, including the Astra Awards, Golden Globe Awards, Critics' Choice Awards, NBR Awards, and BAFTA Awards. In addition, Fernanda Torres won the Golden Globe for Best Actress. With this remarkable recognition, there is no doubt that I'm Still Here will secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
EMILIA PEREZ (FRANCE)
Emilia Pérez, directed by the acclaimed Jacques Audiard, unfolds the gripping story of Rita, an underappreciated lawyer working at a major law firm that prioritizes getting criminals out of jail over seeking true justice. Rita’s life takes a dramatic turn when she is recruited by the leader of a criminal organization. Known for his Palme d'Or-winning Dheepan and his earlier Oscar nomination for A Prophet (2009), Audiard returns with this intense thriller, blending moral complexity with sharp character dynamics. Emilia Pérez premiered at the Cannes Film Festival, where its four lead actresses—Gascón, Saldaña, Gomez, and Paz—won the prestigious collective Best Actress award. The film also claimed the Jury Prize, cementing its place as a standout. With its critical acclaim and powerful performances, Emilia Pérez is currently a frontrunner in several Oscar categories and is all but guaranteed a nomination for Best International Feature.
THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (GERMANY)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig is the latest film from renowned Iranian director Mohammad Rasoulof, whose previous works include Goodbye (2011), which earned him Best Director at Cannes, and There Is No Evil (2020), which won the prestigious Golden Bear at the Berlin Film Festival. Starring Misagh Zare, Soheila Golestani, Mahsa Rostami, and Setareh Maleki, The Seed of the Sacred Fig premiered in competition at the Cannes Film Festival in May 2024, where it was awarded the Special Jury Prize and the FIPRESCI Award. The film went on to win the Audience Award at the Sydney Film Festival in June 2024. Released in North American theatres in November 2024, the film has solidified Rasoulof’s status as a master of political cinema, delivering sharp commentary on power, trust, and the erosion of personal boundaries. It has earned nominations at the Astra Awards, Golden Globe Awards, Critics’ Choice Awards, and BAFTA Awards, and was a standout at the NBR Awards, where it won top honors. The film was also a runner-up at the LA Film Critics Awards. With this impressive track record, there's little doubt that The Seed of the Sacred Fig will secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
I'M STILL HERE (BRAZIL)
I'm Still Here had its world premiere at the 81st Venice International Film Festival, where it garnered widespread critical acclaim. Fernanda Torres’ performance as Eunice Paiva was universally praised, with critics highlighting her portrayal of strength, resilience, and vulnerability. The screenplay, which won the Best Screenplay award at Venice, has been celebrated for its sensitive handling of deeply emotional material while maintaining a strong historical and political context. Sony Pictures Classics has acquired the North American distribution rights, ensuring that this important story will reach a broad audience. With its stunning performances, nuanced storytelling, and historical significance, I'm Still Here serves as a powerful testament to the enduring impact of love, truth, and the human spirit in the face of adversity. Like The Seed of the Sacred Fig, the film has been nominated for several prestigious awards, including the Astra Awards, Golden Globe Awards, Critics' Choice Awards, NBR Awards, and BAFTA Awards. In addition, Fernanda Torres won the Golden Globe for Best Actress. With this remarkable recognition, there is no doubt that I'm Still Here will secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
(Latvia - Flow; Italy - Vermiglio; Denmark - The Girl with the Needle)
There are now four films battling out for the remaining two spots and it's nearly impossible to predict who will get the Oscar nomination.
VERMIGLIO (ITALY)
Directed by Maura Delpero, Vermiglio marks her second feature following the success of her debut film Maternal, which earned critical acclaim, including the Silver Lion Grand Jury Prize at the Venice Film Festival. With Vermiglio, Delpero continues to showcase her ability to craft powerful, character-driven stories that explore personal and emotional struggles. The film had its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival, where it captivated both audiences and critics. It continued its successful festival run, screening at prestigious events such as the Toronto International Film Festival, São Paulo, London, Chicago, and the Hamptons International Film Festival. Following its festival success, the North American distribution rights were acquired by Sideshow and Janus Films, ensuring the film will reach a broader audience eager to experience its gripping and heartfelt narrative. Nominated at both the Gotham Awards and Golden Globe Awards, Vermiglio has positioned itself as a strong contender in the race for Best International Feature. Italy is always a formidable contender, so the question remains: Will it make the cut?
KNEECAP (IRELAND)
Kneecap is a dynamic and innovative film that seamlessly blends hip hop with cultural revival. Set in Belfast, it follows JJ, a teacher who unexpectedly becomes involved with Naoise and Liam, self-proclaimed "low life scum" and members of the West Belfast rap trio Kneecap. Rapping in their native Irish, the trio’s unique act sparks a movement to preserve the Irish language and reintroduce it into modern culture. As their raw, powerful music gains momentum, they challenge societal norms and fight to ensure the survival of their heritage. Written and directed by Rich Peppiatt, Kneecap features the actual members of the trio—Móglai Bap, Mo Chara, and DJ Provaí—alongside a talented ensemble cast, including Oscar nominee Michael Fassbender, Simone Kirby, Josie Walker, Fionnuala Flaherty, Jessica Reynolds, and Adam Best. The film made history earlier this year as the first Irish-language film to premiere at the Sundance Film Festival, receiving widespread praise for its bold exploration of language, identity, and rebellion through music and youthful defiance. Nominated at the prestigious Critics Choice Awards, Kneecap showcased its true strength at the BAFTA Awards, earning six nominations and solidifying its widespread popularity.
FLOW (LATVIA)
Flow is an imaginative and visually stunning animated feature by Latvian director Gints Zilbalodis. The film follows Cat, a solitary creature whose home is destroyed by a catastrophic flood. Seeking refuge, Cat embarks on a journey aboard a boat with a diverse group of species. As they sail through mystical, submerged landscapes, Cat must learn to collaborate with the other passengers, despite their differences. The film explores themes of adaptation, survival, and the power of unity in the face of adversity. Flow is Zilbalodis' second animated feature, following the success of his debut, Away. Premiering in the Un Certain Regard section at the Cannes Film Festival, the film earned significant attention for its innovative animation style and emotional depth. It went on to win four prestigious awards at the Annecy International Animation Film Festival, including the Audience Award, further solidifying its critical acclaim. As a top contender for Best Animated Feature at the Oscars, and with nominations at the Astra Awards, Spirit Awards, Critics' Choice Awards, and BAFTA Awards, Flow has the potential to secure two Oscar nominations.
THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (DENMARK)
The Girl with the Needle, directed by Magnus von Horn, tells the poignant story of Karoline, a young factory worker in post-World War I Copenhagen, who faces abandonment and an unexpected pregnancy while striving to escape poverty. As she navigates her difficult circumstances, she meets Dagmar, a charismatic woman running a covert adoption agency within a candy store, offering support to struggling mothers by helping them find foster homes for their unwanted children. This is von Horn's first Danish-language feature, following his acclaimed Swedish debut The Here After (2015), which premiered in Directors' Fortnight at Cannes. His second feature, Sweat, a Polish production, was selected for the official Cannes program in 2020, though the festival was canceled due to the pandemic. The Girl with the Needle made its debut in competition at the 2024 Cannes Film Festival, further cementing von Horn's reputation for crafting emotionally resonant, character-driven stories. The film premiered in theaters in New York and Los Angeles on December 6, with Mubi handling distribution and The Match Factory managing world sales. Nominated at the NBR Awards and Golden Globes, and with Denmark being a consistent contender, The Girl with the Needle could very well secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
After careful consideration, we predict the following five films will receive nominations for Best International Feature at the Oscars:
VERMIGLIO (ITALY)
Directed by Maura Delpero, Vermiglio marks her second feature following the success of her debut film Maternal, which earned critical acclaim, including the Silver Lion Grand Jury Prize at the Venice Film Festival. With Vermiglio, Delpero continues to showcase her ability to craft powerful, character-driven stories that explore personal and emotional struggles. The film had its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival, where it captivated both audiences and critics. It continued its successful festival run, screening at prestigious events such as the Toronto International Film Festival, São Paulo, London, Chicago, and the Hamptons International Film Festival. Following its festival success, the North American distribution rights were acquired by Sideshow and Janus Films, ensuring the film will reach a broader audience eager to experience its gripping and heartfelt narrative. Nominated at both the Gotham Awards and Golden Globe Awards, Vermiglio has positioned itself as a strong contender in the race for Best International Feature. Italy is always a formidable contender, so the question remains: Will it make the cut?
KNEECAP (IRELAND)
Kneecap is a dynamic and innovative film that seamlessly blends hip hop with cultural revival. Set in Belfast, it follows JJ, a teacher who unexpectedly becomes involved with Naoise and Liam, self-proclaimed "low life scum" and members of the West Belfast rap trio Kneecap. Rapping in their native Irish, the trio’s unique act sparks a movement to preserve the Irish language and reintroduce it into modern culture. As their raw, powerful music gains momentum, they challenge societal norms and fight to ensure the survival of their heritage. Written and directed by Rich Peppiatt, Kneecap features the actual members of the trio—Móglai Bap, Mo Chara, and DJ Provaí—alongside a talented ensemble cast, including Oscar nominee Michael Fassbender, Simone Kirby, Josie Walker, Fionnuala Flaherty, Jessica Reynolds, and Adam Best. The film made history earlier this year as the first Irish-language film to premiere at the Sundance Film Festival, receiving widespread praise for its bold exploration of language, identity, and rebellion through music and youthful defiance. Nominated at the prestigious Critics Choice Awards, Kneecap showcased its true strength at the BAFTA Awards, earning six nominations and solidifying its widespread popularity.
FLOW (LATVIA)
Flow is an imaginative and visually stunning animated feature by Latvian director Gints Zilbalodis. The film follows Cat, a solitary creature whose home is destroyed by a catastrophic flood. Seeking refuge, Cat embarks on a journey aboard a boat with a diverse group of species. As they sail through mystical, submerged landscapes, Cat must learn to collaborate with the other passengers, despite their differences. The film explores themes of adaptation, survival, and the power of unity in the face of adversity. Flow is Zilbalodis' second animated feature, following the success of his debut, Away. Premiering in the Un Certain Regard section at the Cannes Film Festival, the film earned significant attention for its innovative animation style and emotional depth. It went on to win four prestigious awards at the Annecy International Animation Film Festival, including the Audience Award, further solidifying its critical acclaim. As a top contender for Best Animated Feature at the Oscars, and with nominations at the Astra Awards, Spirit Awards, Critics' Choice Awards, and BAFTA Awards, Flow has the potential to secure two Oscar nominations.
THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (DENMARK)
The Girl with the Needle, directed by Magnus von Horn, tells the poignant story of Karoline, a young factory worker in post-World War I Copenhagen, who faces abandonment and an unexpected pregnancy while striving to escape poverty. As she navigates her difficult circumstances, she meets Dagmar, a charismatic woman running a covert adoption agency within a candy store, offering support to struggling mothers by helping them find foster homes for their unwanted children. This is von Horn's first Danish-language feature, following his acclaimed Swedish debut The Here After (2015), which premiered in Directors' Fortnight at Cannes. His second feature, Sweat, a Polish production, was selected for the official Cannes program in 2020, though the festival was canceled due to the pandemic. The Girl with the Needle made its debut in competition at the 2024 Cannes Film Festival, further cementing von Horn's reputation for crafting emotionally resonant, character-driven stories. The film premiered in theaters in New York and Los Angeles on December 6, with Mubi handling distribution and The Match Factory managing world sales. Nominated at the NBR Awards and Golden Globes, and with Denmark being a consistent contender, The Girl with the Needle could very well secure a nomination for Best International Feature.
After careful consideration, we predict the following five films will receive nominations for Best International Feature at the Oscars:
- Emilia Perez (France)
- Flow (Latvia)
- I'm Still Here (Brazil)
- Kneecap (Ireland)
- The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Germany)